Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets in a row (if it is precisely what your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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So if something rarely or never is situated in lottery drawings, or if something has never happened before in lottery drawing history, doesn’t’ it make sense that it in all probability won’t acquire place?
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